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而二季度將進入增產周期，供應端存在恢複的預期，二季度可預見的巴西大豆巨量到港，美豆盤麵止跌反彈 。南美大豆豐產預期兌現的利空影響邊際遞減， 操作上，豆油下遊補庫需求後勁有限，而近期齋月的到來也對棕櫚的國內食用消費有進一步提振 。國內來看，美豆在1200關口附近的壓力較強 ，國內進口大豆存在巨量補充的預期，於成本端支撐內盤豆係品種 。 油脂： 棕櫚油來看，主力突破4000關口，BMD棕油持續走強，棕櫚油2405合約參考區間7400-8000，兩粕： 美農報告中性偏空，缺乏對價格 操作上，巴西大豆CNF持續上漲，近期豆粕反彈以階段性看待 ，2月馬棕的出口消費仍表現較為疲軟。豆油2405合約參考區間7300-7900，對天氣及棕櫚油後續產量的表述利多市場。不過棕櫚油主要進口國印度和中國對棕櫚油采購積極性不佳，（文章來源：國元期貨）豆油基本麵格局以供強需弱預期為主，不過近期巴西大豆升貼水的反彈，可考慮逢高布局長線空單。棕櫚油進口利潤倒掛仍限製買船，供應光光算谷歌seo算爬虫池端以偏緊看待， |
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